CSAT Solved Papers/ 2022/Q44
2022 CSAT — Q44
Passage
The demographic dividend, which has begun in India and is expected to last another few decades, is a great window of opportunity. The demographic dividend is basically a swelling in the working age population, which conversely means that the relative ratio of very young and very old will, for a while, be on the decline. From the experience of Ireland and China, we know that this can be a source of energy and an engine of economic growth. The demographic dividend tends to raise a nation’s savings rate since in any nation, it is the working age population that is the main saver. And since the savings rate is an important driver of growth, this should help elevate our growth rate. However, the benefits of demographic dividend depend on the quality of the working age population. And this implies bringing back the importance of education, acquisition of skills and human capital.
With reference to the passage, which of the following inferences can be drawn?
-
Demographic dividend is an essential condition for a country to rapidly increase its economic growth rate.
-
Promotion of higher education is an essential condition for a country for its rapid economic growth.
Select the correct answer using the code given below.
Thinking pathway
Locate. This asks for the best-supported inference — the one the passage forces, not merely one that’s plausible — so the drawn inference must stay inside the passage’s hedges. The passage: the dividend is “a great window of opportunity”; it “can be a source of energy and an engine of economic growth”; it “should help elevate our growth rate”; and “the benefits… depend on the quality of the working age population… bringing back the importance of education.”
Test — find the line, then watch the qualifier. Item 1 says the dividend is an “essential condition” for rapid growth. The passage’s language is enabling and hedged — “can be,” “should help,” “opportunity” — never “essential/necessary.” “Essential condition” inflates an opportunity into a necessity. Item 2 says higher education is an “essential condition for… rapid economic growth.” The passage says education matters for reaping the dividend’s benefits — a conditioner on the dividend, not a standalone necessity for growth; “essential condition for rapid economic growth” overreaches.
Eliminate by anatomy. (a) seats item 1’s over-statement — it flips the passage’s caution into certainty (“can be an engine” → “is essential”); (b) seats item 2’s over-statement (education-helps-reap-benefits → “essential condition for growth”); (c) takes both. The transferable rule: “can be / should help / opportunity” never licenses “essential / necessary.” Both inferences harden a hedge into a necessity, so neither can be drawn. Key: (d).
Evidence in the text
Item 1 — the passage calls the demographic dividend “a great window of opportunity” that “CAN be a source of energy and an engine of economic growth” and “SHOULD help elevate our growth rate”: all hedged (“can,” “should,” “opportunity”). “Essential condition” hardens an enabling opportunity into a necessity the passage never asserts → QUALIFIER fails → not drawable. Item 2 — “the benefits… depend on the quality of the working age population… bringing back the importance of education”: education helps reap the dividend; “essential condition for… rapid economic growth” overstates it into a standalone necessity for growth → not drawable. Neither → (d).
Worked rationale
The passage frames the dividend as an opportunity that can drive growth, with benefits depending on education quality.
- Item 1 — “essential condition for rapid growth” converts “can be an engine / window of opportunity” into a necessity. Overstated; not drawable.
- Item 2 — “essential condition for rapid economic growth” converts “education helps reap the dividend” into a standalone necessity for growth. Overstated; not drawable.
Neither survives the qualifier test. Answer: (d) Neither 1 nor 2.
Why the other options miss
- A changes the passage’s level of certainty: accepts item 1’s “essential condition,” hardening the passage’s “can be an engine of economic growth” into a necessity.
- B too strong for what the passage says: accepts item 2’s “essential condition for rapid economic growth,” inflating “education helps reap the dividend’s benefits” into a standalone requirement for growth.
- C takes both over-strong inferences together.
Specialist insight
Both statements fail on the same move: swapping the passage’s enabling, hedged language (“opportunity,” “can be,” “should help,” “depend on”) for the hard modal “essential condition.” UPSC rejects exactly this strengthening. The discipline: when a passage says a factor can help or its benefits depend on something, you cannot infer that the factor is necessary — necessity is a stronger claim that needs its own textual warrant. Neither statement has it. (d).
"Can be an engine" and "benefits depend on education" never license "essential condition" — both inferences over-strengthen the passage's hedges, so (d).